供应链运作风险影响供应链绩效的实证研究

14420098IndustrialEngineeringandManagementVol.14No.4Aug.2009:100725429(2009)0420030208:2008206211;:2008210210:(70671021);(06sjb710005);(07030503019):(19822),,,,1,1,1,2(1.,212013;2.,210096):,,,LISREL8.70,:;,:;;;;:F253:AAnEmpiricalResearchofSupplyChain:theInfluenceofOperationalRiskonPerformanceCHENJing2xian,SHIGuo2hong,MAHan2wu(1.SchoolofBusinessAdministration,JiangsuUniversity,Zhenjiang212013,China;2.InstituteofSystemsEngineering,SoutheastUniversity,Nanjing210096,China)Abstract:Thispaperstudiedtheoperationalriskinfluenceofsupplychain(SCOR)onitsperformancewiththeempiricalresearch.Ricksofsupply,demand,manufactureprocessandinformationareusedtodescribeSCOR.Thenthesupplychainreliability,flexibility,servicequalityandfinancialperformancearechosentodescribethesupplychainperformance.AmodelwhichdescribedtherelationbetweenSCORandsupplychainperformancewasestablished.ThenthesoftwareLISREL8.70isusedfortestingthemodelandgettingtheresult.Thefindingsofthispapertellusthatmanufactureprocessriskandinformationriskhavedirectandgreateffectsonsupplychainperformance;Relatedwiththemanufactureprocessriskandinformationrisk,supplyriskanddemandriskhaveindirecteffectsonthesupplychainperformance.Theresearchconclusionprovidesthetheoreticalreferencetomanufacturingenterpriseforactualsupplychainriskmanagement.Keywords:supplychain;operationalrisk;performance;structuralequationmodel;empiricalstudy1,Hendricks,Singhal30%40%[1]CranfieldDeloitte,(vulnerability)034[2,3][4]21(SupplyChainRiskManagement,SCRM),[124][2,3,528][9,10],[11][12,13][14,15],,,,,22.1,,,[16]Cranfield,,Paulsson:,,,[17]TangCS,,,,[18],,,,,,,:,2.2,,[19221],,Cooke21,[22],,10,8[23],4[24],,42.3,,(1),,H1a;H1b;1314,:H1c;H1d(2),,H2a;H2b;H2c;H2d(3),,H3a;H3b;H3c;H3d(4),,H4a;H4b;H4c;H4d(5),,,;,,,H5;H6;H7(6),H8;H9;H10(7),,H11;H12;H13,,1123433.1(2004)2002500,800,,20076,,10006,386,191,38.6%,19.1%,[25],,CEO,,6.7878.4%,,11/%/%//%/%/%32.50-10011.10.111.2CEO3.6312.13.5101-25012.50.1-0.921.55.74-626.327.4250-50015.71.0-4.924.947.37-930.915.6501-100017.25.0-9.912.326.210-1215.714.31001-250012.91030.116.213-159.56.7250030.6165.53.2,,,5,,,5,5;,5(1)1Hallikasa,:x1;x2;x3;x4(2)2TangCS,:x5;x6;x7(3)3ForzaC[26],:x8;x9;x10;x11;x12(4)4TangCS,:x13;x14(5)MorashE,ZhaoM,,,y1y21[27];y3y42;y5y64;y7,y8y9444.1(1),Cronbach0.60SPSS15.0,23314,:,(2),,,,,,0.5,0.5,0.7.LISREL8.70(CFA),2,2Cronbach3.541.0410.5853.370.8310.6963.431.0020.7023.150.8990.7432.911.0140.6762.850.9980.8753.280.9200.6103.630.8310.7673.480.7710.6043.560.6640.5863.540.7450.5642.910.7590.6453.110.8390.6923.130.8910.6173.540.6360.7403.700.7430.5663.040.8460.7163.070.7490.6883.670.7520.7873.760.7990.6713.570.7670.8813.590.8580.8033.540.9050.7470.680.7020.690.7680.770.7790.570.6290.610.6910.590.6650.700.7120.860.8470.9264.2,LISREL8.701,,3,4.3,2512,44343x2429.438P0.0000.05,x2/df1.5282,GFI0.9691,AGFI0.9521,RMSEA0.0120.05,IFI0.9891,TLI0.9851,,,CFI0.9951,,,AIC429.275,CAIC1035.833,4PH1a-0.2810.05H1b-0.9110.05H1c-0.2960.05H1d-0.2040.05H2a-0.9540.05H2b-0.3410.05H2c-0.2810.05H2d-0.7220.05H3a-0.2550.05H3b-0.412(1)0.05H3c-0.8990.05H3d-0.535(3)0.001H4a-0.247(3)0.001H4b-0.913(3)0.001H4c-0.792(3)0.001H4d-0.3470.05H50.2690.05H60.576(3)0.001H70.917(3)0.001H80.594(3)0.001H90.953(3)0.001H100.781(3)0.001H110.654(2)0.01H120.2190.751H130.268(3)0.001(1)H1aH1bH1cH1dH2aH2bH2cH2d,4(2)H3aH3c,;H3bH3d,5314,:(3)H4d,;H4aH4bH4c,(4)H5,;H6H7H8H9H10,(5)H12,;H11H13,5,12,:,;,;,(1),(-0.535,P0.001)TangHendricks,,,,,,(-0.412,P0.05),,TracyM[28]TracyM,;,,(2),(-0.247,P0.001;-0.913,P0.001;-0.792,P0.001),SuhKwo[29]HendricksTang,,,,,,(3),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,634,,,,,(4)43,,3,,,,6(1),,4,4,,(2),,LISREL8.70,,(3),,,,,,,,,;,,,:[1]HendricksK,SinghalV.Anempiricalanalysisofthedisruptiononlong2turnstockpriceperformanceandequityriskofthefirm[J].ProductionandOperationsManagementSociety,2005,14(1):25253.[2]CranfieldManagementSchool.Supplychainvulnerability[R].England:CranfieldUniversity,2002.[3]Deloitte.Supplychainriskmanagement[R].Netherlands:Deloitte,2004.[4]TangCS.Perspectiveinsupplychainriskmanagement[J].InternationalJournalofProductionEconomics,2006,103(2):4512488.[5]SmeltzerLR,SiferdSP.Proactivesupplymanagement:themanagementofrisk[J].InternationalJournalofPurchasingandMaterialsManagement,1998,34(1):38245.[6]HallikasaJ,Veil2MattiV,MarkkuT.Riskanalysisandassessmentinnetworkenvironments[J].InternationalJournalofProductionEconomics,2002,78(1):45255.[7]HallikasaJ,IrisK,UrhoP.Riskmanagementprocessesinsuppliernetworks[J].InternationalJournalofProductionEconomics,2004,90(2):47258.[8]LindrothR,NorrmanA.ProceedingsoftheLogisticsResearchNetwork6thAnnualConference[C].Newcastle:AmsterdanPress,2001.[9]BalanS,VratP,KumarP.Riskanalysisinglobalsupplychainnetworkenvironments[J].EuropeanJournalofOperationalResearch,2006,174(3):135321367.[10]GohM,LimJYS,MengF.Astochasticmodelforriskmanagementinglobalsupplychainnetworks[J].EuropeanJournalofOperationalResearch,2007,182(1):1642173.[11],.:[J].,2007,12(2):88294.[12],,,.[J].,2008,17(1):69273.[13],,.[J].,2007,21(5):27230.[14],,.[J].,2006,9(6):1212.[15],,.[J].,200