基于CAS理论的供应链演化研究

五邑大学硕士学位论文基于CAS理论的供应链演化研究姓名：牛文学申请学位级别：硕士专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：张丹松20060316I——SWARMSWARMIIABSTRACTSupplychainmanagement,aninter-organizationmanagementmode,istheemphasisoftheoreticalresearchandpracticeineconomicmanagementfields.Evenmore,itgivesakindofmethodtomanagethedynamicinter-relationshipamongthoseindependententitiesinsupplychain.Justbecauseofthesuperiorityinmanagementstyle,supplychainmanagementisappliedasstrategyactions.Thensomescholarspointoutthattoday’scompetitionamongthecompaniesisnotjusttheisolateindividualenterprise,butthesupplychainitlivesin.Basedoncontrolling-model,theoreticalresearchandthepracticeinsupplychainmanagementmadealotofachievements.Butitisapitythatthismodelintheoryandpracticegraduallybecomesincompetentaccordingtothecomplexenvironmentstoday,theauthorinthispaperregardsthecrucialreasonisignoranceintheindependencecharacteroftheenterprisesinsupplychain.Inrecentyears,thereisapopularresearchinsystemscience,especiallycomplexadaptivesystem(CAS)scienceconductedbyevolutionism.CASpaysmuchattentiontotheself-governedindividualsandinter-affectionsbetweenthemAlsoitdeclaresthatjusttheindividuals’actionsmakethemacro-systemcharactersemerge.Onsystemmodelingmethodology,ittakesbottom-to-upways.ThenbyusingCAStheoryandthemethodsitprovides,thethesistriestosolvetheproblemasevolutionofsupplychainthatcan’tsuccessfullyhandledbytheformerways.Alsoothertoolsinsystemscience(synthesisanalysisinqualitativeandquantitative),artificialintelligence(GeneticAlgorithms)andcomputerscience(Multi-agentsSimulation)willbeusedhere.Therearethreepartsinthepaper.PartIincludingchapter1,2and3givesareviewonresearchesbothinsupplychainandsystemscience(esp.CAS),hereindicatesstatusquoandproblemexistinginsupplychainfield,andtheintroductionofCAStheoryanditsresearchmethodsinhandlingeconomicproblems.Chapter4,5,6and7makeupofPartII.Inthispart,supplychainsystemisverifiedasacomplexadaptivesystem,andadetailedcomparisonanalysisarecarriedthroughbetweenthesupplychainsystemandCASandtheninchapter5thetheoreticalframeworkonevolutionisputup,alsoitisthecoreopinionsonsupplychainsystem’sevolutionThefollowingchaptergivestheagent-modeloftheenterprisesthatfiguresouttheattributesofthecompaniesandtheirbehaviormodelinbusinessoperationactions.Inchapter7geneticalgorithm(GA)isusedtomimicthecomponentsinsupplychainjustasIIICAStheorydoes,whichisthepreconditionfortheSWARMsimulationtocarryout.PartIIIisthecomputersimulationandthepaperconclusion.Chapter8takestheformerworkThelatteristhechapter9.BycomputersimulationbasedonSWARMplatform,thetheoreticalforegoingassumptionsareapprovedundertwo-levelsimulationinsupplychainassupplychaintosupplychainandenterprisetoenterprise.Alsojustfromthesimulationresult,alongtheevolutionofthesupplychain,thesignificanceofinnovation,self-learning,andself-adaptiveinenterprisesobviouslycomeout.Itistheinnovationandadaptiveabilitiestoenvironmentthatimpetusessupplychaintoevolve.Theconclusionandprospectinthisresearchlivesinthelastchapter.Heretheauthorconcludestheresearchandpointsouttheexpectationinthefollowingsextendingfromthisstudy.Theviewpointsondynamicevolutionofsupplychainsystemcanbeconcludedasthefollowings.First,theevolutionofsupplychainisaprocesscomprisedofinternalself-organizationandexternalenvironmentadaptationsecondly,theimpetusofsupplychainevolutionisjusttheindividualself-determinationbehaviorandtheinter-affectionmechanismamongthemAtthelast,supplychainsystemisusuallyanon-core-controllingsystem,andallthetimeitisondynamictransformationformastablesituationtoanotherone.Keywords:supplychainsystemcomplexadaptivesystemdynamicevolutiongeneticalgorithmSWARMsimulation2006316111.1(5013334)1.1.11MaloneRockart1991)“2090”“”“”VerticalIntegration(HorizontalIntegration)(SupplyChainManagement)(NetworksOrganizationManagement)HPIBMDELL21Einstein“”[1]2“”2“21”[2][3/4/5]——1.1.2SWARM“”31.21.2.11.2.2CASCAS????1.33:1ComplexAdaptiveSystem2“”431.4CASCASCASCAS——GAGASWARM51-1CASCASCASSWARM6[1]Auyang,S.Y.[M],2002.10[2].——21[J],1997,19(l)[3].[J],2002[4],.[J],2001,16(5)[5],.[J],,2000(8)[6].[M]2004.2[7]LeighTesfatsion.Agent-basedcomputationaleconomics:modelingeconomiesascomplexadaptivesystems[J]InformationScience2003(149)[8]HartmutStadtler.Supplychainmanagementandadvancedplanning-basics,overviewandchallenges[J]EuropeanJournalofOperationalResearch2005163[9]SanjayJain,SandeepKrishna.Emergenceandgrowthofcomplexnetworksinadaptivesystems[J]ComputerPhysicsCommunications1999112[10]IEskoK.Juuso.integrationofintelligentsystemsindevelopmentofsmartadaptivesystems[J]InternationalJournalofApproximateReasoning2004(35)[11],.[J]2005,14(9)[12],.[J],2001,4(1)[13].[J]2005.8[14].[D],,2002,12[15],.[J].,2002.157252.12080[1]1980·“”(ValueChain)1989(Stevens)“”SGSCF(StanfordGlobalSupplyChainForum)(Evens)Chase(Phillip)D·ThomasP·GriffiJohnsandRiley,1984Houlihan,1985ScottandWestbrook,1991LeeandBelington,1993Lamming,1996Christopher1992Beamon1998UrsulaY.Alvarado&HerbertKotzab[3][4][5]8(SupplyChain,SC)(linkage)[6]2.22.2.1[7](SupplyChainCouncilSCC)(SupplyChainOperationsReferencesSCOR)4SCCSCORROCKFORD1998(SupplyChainDevelopm