浙江交通运输与经济发展的相关性分析

X(,,310018),L,L,,,,,,,LL,L[1],[2],[3]L,,,LL,,,LL,L1.(GNP)(GDP),L,,y1()y2(ö)x1()x2()x3()x4()Z1.1x1,x2,,xm,nxi(k)(k=1,2,,n),[4]22220056MATHEMATICSINECONOMICSVol.22No.2June2005X123(0100220021):2004-08-07.R=r11r12r1mr21r22r2mrm1rm2rmmrij=6nk=1(xi(k)-xqi)(xj(k)-xqj)6nk=1(xi(k)-xqi)26nk=1(xj(k)-xqj)2,xqi=1n6nk=1xi(k)rijxixj,xixj,rij1,xixjZ19862001y1y2x1x2x3x4R1R2:R1=10.97170.96980.98720.985610.98390.99140.963410.98180.983510.97881(1)R2=10.97440.97080.98630.980910.98390.99140.963410.98180.983510.97881(2)1.2GM(1,N),,Z{x(0)1(k)},(){x(0)i(k)}(i=2,,N)Z{x(1)i(k)}(i=1,,N)GM(1,N)x(0)1(k)+az(1)1(k)=b2x(1)2+b3x(1)3++bNx(1)N(3)z(1)1(k)=12(x(1)1(k)+x(1)1(k-1)).(3),dx(1)1dt+ax(1)1=b2x(1)2+b3x(1)3++bNx(1)N(4)(4)x(1)1(t)=e-atx(1)(0)-t6Ni=2bix(1)i(0)+6Ni=2bix(1)i(t)eatdtGM(1,N)(3)[5]x(1)1(k+1)=x(1)1(0)-1a6Ni=2bix(1)i(k+1)e-ak+1a6Ni=2bix(1)i(k+1)(5)3612x(1)1(0)=x(0)1(1),a=(a,b2,b3,,bN)T=(BTB)-1BTYB=-z(1)1(2)x(1)2(2)x(1)N(2)-z(1)1(3)x(1)2(3)x(1)N(3)-z(1)1(n)x(1)2(n)x(1)N(n),Y=x(0)1(2)x(0)1(3)x(0)1(n)(5):x(0)1(k+1)=x(1)1(k+1)-x(1)1(k),-abi{x(1)i(k)}Za0,,a0,Z19862001y1y2x1x2x3x4GM(1,5):dy(1)1dt-0.01516y(1)1=0.009833x(1)1-0.01268x(1)2-0.3389x(1)3+0.3872x(1)4(6)dy(1)2dt+0.1127y(1)2=0.04083x(1)1-0.03935x(1)2-7.358x(1)3+2.594x(1)4(7)1.3ZZ,Z[6]:X(yj,xi)=AC(yj,xi)+BE(yj,xi)+(1-A-B)K(yj,xi)(8),AB,C(yj,xi),E(yj,xi),K(yj,xi)[5],ri=X(yj,xi).19862001,y1y2x1x2x3x41Z1r1r2r3r4y10.67320.68250.68010.6929r4r2r3r1y20.60610.61610.64740.6853r4r3r2r1(1)(2)(6)(7)1,y1y2(x1x2x3)(x4x5x6),2Z461222r1r2r3r4r5r6y10.61370.67010.59140.61010.69070.6813r5r6r2r1r4r3y20.59530.72390.55130.58580.76640.7582r5r6r2r1r4r32.2.1R1R2r1j0.96Z,y1y2x1x2x3x4ZZ,Z,;,Z,Z2.2,Z1986500.06[7],19953524.79,24.23à,20016748.15,1618.94àZ1986661ö,19952831ö,17.54à,20014772ö,1614.08àZZ,Z198657973,1995109139,7.28à.2001132881,165.68àZ1986220.38,1995483.06,9.11à,2001651.79,167.49àZ,,Z198630775,199562287,8.15à,200177832,166.38àZ1986341.2,1995874.29,11.02à,20011371.6,169.72àZ,198668.1,1995245.1,15.29à,2001282.5,169.94àZ1986137.88,1995442.38,13.83à,2001882.59,1613.17àZ,Z199096632,20012217575,32.96àZ200265.3,Z56122.3,,,Z,,Z,Z,,Z,Z,,(6)a0,,,,Zb10,b40,x1x4y1Z(7)a0,,Zb10.b40,x1x4y,Z(6)(7)b20.b30,y1y2,x2x3;x2x3y1y2Z,,Z(1)(2),,Z,Z3.,Z,,Z,:;,;,Z,Z[1],,[J],,2003,3(2)[2],[J],,2003,7[3],[J],,1999,1(3)[4],,,[M],:,1995[5],,[M],:,199166122[6],[J],,1999,3[7],2002[M],:,2002ANALYSISOFRELATIONSHIPBETWEENTRANSPORTATIONANDECONOMICDEVELOPMENTOFZHEJIANGHeManxi(ChinaJiliangUniversity,Hangzhou,310018)AbstractInthispaperwetriestoanalyserelationshipbetweentransportationandeconomicdevelopmentbyusingmodellingtheoryofgreysystemsandmeansofquantitativeeconomics.Hadstudiedtheinherentrela2tionofimportantindexoftransportationandeconomicdevelopment.Whichforbringtheimportantroleoftransportationintofullplayineconomicactions,andforstudythecoordinateddevelopmentoftransportationandeconomythatwillprovidedreferencebasis.KeywordsTransportation,economicdevelopment,relationship,greysystems,quantitativeeconomics7612