增长及能源效率关系的实证_省略_基于6大产业部门的综列协整和P_

©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,,,,,:;,,,:(:20060252);(:S200603)6PVECMTheEmpiricalStudyAmongEnergyConsumption,EconomicGrowthandEnergyEfficiencyBasedon6Industries’PanelCointegrationModelandParsimoniousVectorErrorCorrectionModel1,22XUGangPANQi2zhi(1111602321116025)[]19892005,:,,[]PVECM[]F20515[]A[]1000-1549(2009)05-0063-062007228,2006,2211,,2416,205,912%,,20071-1049%,3112%,1030%,2006GDP1198tce,312,OECD4,3,,2004[1],2000GDP810%,GDP7116%,2001GDP713%,GDP5179%;,,,20061431,112%;2594,118%,6,,(panelcointegration,),,,3620095©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.[2](2000):GDP,GDP;ChangYounghoJiangChan(2003)[3][4](2003),:GDP;[5]E-GGranger,19782000GDP,GDP;(2005)[6](2006)[7]19542003,,:(2007)[8]Nicho2lasJames[9](2008)6,19892005,,,,,11,,,,,,(1),,,(GDP),6,,2005,(2)(EF),,,,(),,(),,,:/,:,:,21,YitXitzitit(:)(2005,:)(:/4620095©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.),:Yit=Xit1ie(i+2izit+it)i=1,,6;t=1,,17(1)i;1ii;2i,ittiyit=log(Yit),xit=log(Xit),(1):yit=i+1ixit+2izit+it(2)i1i2i,,(2)(heterogeneous),11(1990-2006),(2000-2006),:19491999,(1990-2006),(1990-2006)(1990-2006)L,LEN,;LGD,(2005)19892005,Eviews61021(1),,[10](2),,Fisher2PP6(LEN)(LGD)(EF),11Fisher2PPtPtP810035401784966185293330100001153162019999281023133301005511127720150537319082333010000:113331%Fisher2PP:(LEN)(LGD)(EF),(2),(LEN)(LGD)(EF),JohansenFisherPanelCointegrationTest:(31128,P010018);(29153,P010033),,19892005,,(3),(LEN)(LGD),,,(2)PooledEGLS,:yit=^i+^1ixit+^2izit+^it(3)(^i,^1i,^2i)25620095©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.^i^1i^2i1101578639(21574826)01946591(35100149)-01378297(-24109362)2111067834(01698491)01955045(61722657)-0128949(-01700927)3121626272(21994584)01599515(5174306)-01201174(-31827593)4121631548(31798996)01789412(1211534)-01765203(-71679902)51-01516897(-2163409)1100628(41190993)-01206606(-91540485)6151932851(2184339)0128509(11506142)-11176969(-11597938):t(3),,41(3),a^i,(A^i=5193);,^1i^2i,::,1,1101,,,(0121),,,0196,,,,1%,0196%,,,,0129,4,,,,0195,,1%,0195%,0138,,01790160,,,1100129,:,:1118,,,:,-1118,-0177,-0138,-0129,-0121,-0120,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,20%,,,,,6620095©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(PVECM),:yit=0i+1ixit+2izit+ecmi^i,t-1+it(4)^i,t(3),ecmi(),33PEVCMPooledEGLSi^1i^2iec^mi1101970311(14174988)-01384437(-11141221)-11056348(-21527303)2101879873(31530217)-01274305(-01836836)01046586(01247708)3101288993(01716032)-01166823(-41421702)-01441691(-11531198)4101437406(21506098)-01549428(-41413748)-01039059(-01106560)5101774583(51718681)-01174382(-51976137)-01309922(-01539896)6101548965(21396805)-11081988(-21914444)-01711333(-21870483):t3,10%Granger,PVECM1i2i:,019701880177;,-1108-0155-0138106%,,31%71%,PVECM,,,:6,,;,;,,:;,:,,,,,,,7620095©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:[1][N]12004-10-12.[2]Stern,D1I1AMultivariateCointegrationAnalysisoftheRoleofEnergyintheUSMacroeconomy,2000,22,267283.[3]ChangYounghoandJiangChan1OilPriceFluctuationsandChinaEconomy[J]1EnergyPolicy,2003,(11):1151-1165.[4]1[J]1,2003,(5):57-65.[5],,,,1[J]1,2004,(12):18-21.[6]1-[J]1,2005,(4):30-37.[7],1[J]1,2006,(8):130-133.[8]1[J]1,2007,(6):66-72.[9]NicholasApergis,JamesE1Payne1EnergyconsumptionandeconomicgrowthinCentralAmerica:Evidencefromapanelcointegrationander2rorcorrectionmodel[J]1EnergyEconomics,2009,31:211-216.[10]1Eviews[M]1:,2006:330.(:)(62),,,;,,,,,,:[1]C1Oliver1DeterminantsInterogranizationalRelationships:IntegrationandFutureDirections[J]1AcademyofManagementReview,1990,15(2):241-265.[2]M1Holmlund,J1A1Tomroos1Whatarerelationshipsinbusinessnetwork?[J]1ManagementDecision,1997,35(4):304-309.[3]1[J]1,2007,(7).[4]1[J]1,2007(10):105-108.[5]H1C1Peterson1TheLearningSupplyChain:PilelineorPipedream1AmericanJournalAgricultureEconomics,2002(5):1329-1336.[6]M1GranovetterProblemsofexplanationineconomicsociology1InN1Nohria&R1G1Eccles(Eds),NetworksandOrganizationsStructure,form,andaction1Boston;MA:HarvardBusinessSchool,1992.[7]1[C]1,2003.[8],1[M]1:,2007:253.[9]1[M]1:,1990:235.[10]K1Arrow(1974),TheLimitsofOrganization1NewYork:W1W1Norton.(:)8620095