豚草卷蛾在我国的生物气候相似性分析

121121/1000812410128CLIMEXEpiblemastrenuanaEI-BCRI85Bio-cIimaticMatchingAnaIysisforEpib/emas*+e,-a,aLepidopteraTortricidaeinChinaMAJun12WANFang-hao1GUOJian-ying1YOULan-shao21KeyLaboratoryofBio-controlResource-researchandUtilizationMinistryofAgriculture/InstituteofBiologicalControlChineseAcademyofAgriculturalSciencesBeijing1000812DepartmentofPlantProtectionHunanAgriculturalUniversityChangsha410128AbstractEpiblemastrenuanaisaneffectivebiocontrolagentagainstAmbrosiaandPartheniumandwasimportedtoChinatocontrolAmbrosiaartemisiifolia.AfterasmallscaleofreleasewasmadeinHunanProvinceChinain1990thisphytophagousinsecthasbeenestablishingthere.Hostspecificitytestandfeedinginvestigationfromthereleasingre-gionshowedthattherewerefourhostplantsforE.strenuanainChinaA.artemisiifoliaA.trifidaXanthiumsibi-ricumandPartheniumhysterophorus.Allthehostplantsareweedswhichneedtobecontrolled.Howevertherearestillsomedifferentviewsamongscientistsonthisbiocontrolagentduetoitssafetytonontargetplantsi.e.Helianthusannuus.Furthermoreclimatesuitabilityforthisinsectbeforeextensivelyreleaseisanimportantaspecttobeevaluated.InthisstudyCLIMEXsystemwasintroducedtopredictthepossibilityofestablishmentofE.strenuanawithA.artemisiifoliaA.trifidaandP.hysterophorusat85meteorologicalsites.TheprobabilityofE.strenuanaco-establish-ingwithAartemisiifoliaA.trifidaandP.hysterophoruswasevaluatedquantitativelyrespectivelybyBioclimaticRiskIndexBCRItransferredfromEcoclimateIndexEI.MoreoverifH.annuusbecamehostE.strenuanaincaseofno-choiceconditionthebio-climatematchingriskofthesetwospecieswasalsoevaluated.TheresultscouldprovidebasicinformationforfurtherreleasingofE.strenuanatocontrolA.artemisiifoliaA.trifidaP.hysterophorusandpredictingthepotentialdistributionoftheseweedsinChina.KeywordsEpiblemastrenuanaBio-climatematchingRiskassessmentEstablishment2002-11-082001BA611B-06-1-5397705101967-Tel/[e-mail]200336101156-1162ScientiaAgriculturaSinicaEpiblemastrenuanaAmbrosiaartemisiifolia123003⑴4⑵11.119864～67819869～1415～1819CLIMEX851960～1990301.2CLIMEX1.11997CLIMEXgrowthindexGITIMILIPIstressindexCSHSDSWS/CHX/CDX/WHX/DHXDV0DV1DV2DV3PDDTTCSTHCSDTCSDHCSCLIMEX-eco-climaticindexEIEI0～100EIEIEIEI=100Σ52i=1GI/52×1-CS×1-DS×1-HS×1-WSGIGI=TI×MI×LITIMILICSDSHSWSEI0～1201.31.3.1CLIMEX5CLIMEX751110CLIMEXTableParametersvalueforE.strenuanaA.artemisiifoliaA.trifidaP.hysterophorusandH.annuusreactingtoclimaticconditionsParametersEpiblemastrenuanaAmbrosiaartemisiifoliaA.trifidaPartheniumhysterophorusHelianthusannuusDV012.54.52.010.02.0LimitinglowtemperatureDV118.018.013.020.016.0LoweroptimaltemperatureDV228.032.028.034.025.0UpperoptimaltemperatureDV335.036.034.035.033.0LimitinghightemperaturePDD517.02387.92406.52300.01860.0Minimumdegree-daysSM00.050.080.080.130.04LimitinglowmoistureSM10.120.120.120.180.1LoweroptimalmoistureSM21.50.90.90.850.8UpperoptimalmoistureSM32.02.01.61.52.0LimitinghighmoistureDPD013.014.014.000DiapauseinductiondaylengthTTCS0005.00ColdstresstemperaturethresholdTHCS0.0001200.0001000.0000120.0005000.000001ColdstresstemperaturerateDHCS0.0000100.0001500.00001500.000014Coldstressdegree-dayrateTTHS35.039.034.042.033.0HeatstresstemperaturethresholdTHHS0.02000.02000.04000.03000.0028HeatstresstemperaturerateDTHS80.080.060.0040.0HeatstressthresholdSMDS0.050.080.080.090.08DrystressthresholdHDS0.00200.00400.00200.01500.0002DrystressrateSMWS1.51.51.52.02.0WetstressthresholdHWS0.00020.00020.00020.01000.0040WetstressrateTTHW000030.0Hot-wettemperaturethresholdMTHW00000.30Hot-wetmoisturethresholdPHW00000.01Hot-wetstressrate1.3.2-BioclimaticRiskIndexBCRICLIMEX-EI100EI100EI'=EI/100BCRI=EI'BCRI=EI'1×EI'22BCRI=EI'1orEI'22minWorner21EI-3BCRI≥0.09inevitablerisk0.04≤BCRI0.09randomriskBCRI0.040noriskEI'BCRI85113622.1CLIMEX151～23EI85%85EI≥2064EI≥2064EI≥2074333700255075%02550and75indicateoverlappercentageofpredictivedistribution.Thesameasbelow1Fig.1PredictedoverlapdistributionofEpiblemastrenuanawithAmbrosiaartemisiifolialeftandAmbrosiatrifidaright2Fig.2PredictedoverlapdistributionofEpiblemastrenuanawithPartheniumhysterophorusleftandHelianthusannuusright2.22BCRI0.39511100.3BCRI0.09BCRI1.3.2BCRI85BCRI≥0.0910.04≤BCRI0.09BCRI0.042.385BCRI≥0.0910.04≤BCRI0.09BCRI0.042.485BCRI≥0.0920.04≤BCRI0.09BCRI0.042.530º～52º1617370181985BCRI≥0.042BCRI0.040611363CLIMEX85-BCRICLIMEXCLIMEX-EIGICLIMEXCLIMEXCLIMEXCLIMEXReferences1...1993139-148.LiHKLiYNDengKQLuDY.Studyonthebiologicalcontrolofragweed.RagweedandItsIntegratedManagementinChina.Bei-jingChinaScienceandTechnologyPress1993139-148.inChinese2..19939269-75.WanFHDingJQ.HostspecificityofEpiblemastrenuana.Chi-neseJournalofBiologicalControl19939269-75.inChi-nese3..200222101710-1717.MaJWanFHGuoJYYouLSLuDY.RiskanalysisofhostspecificityforEpiblemastrenuanaLepidopteraTortricidaeabio-controlagentagainstragweedAmbrosiaartemisiifoliaCompositae.ActaEcologicaSinica.200222101710-1717.inChinese4.-.199174177-180.WanFH.AliteraturereviewonEpiblemastrenuanaapotentialbi-ologicalcontrolagentofAmbrosiaartemisiifoliaanditsfeasibilityofapplicationin