根据密炼机橡胶混炼过程的瞬时功率控制法

,,,()20,0.400.84:,1998-07-15,21(4):230232CHINASYNTHETICRUBBERINDUSTRY*(,,510641)()(())Y=0.587-0.218P(1)Y=0.809-0.786P(2)Fig1Scatterplotforviscosityandinstantaneouspoweronmixingrubberfortube,,,,,[1],MGKJ,,[2],,,,,1MGKJ,BB270GK27022.1,60,,Y,P-0.41,YP(1),60,1,0.51P0.49kWh,,*1997-05-26;1998-03-08:,,25,Table1DeviationbetweencalculationandobservationfromdifferentmatrixonmixingrubberfortubeMaximumdeviation0.0300.009Averagedeviation0.0060.003Formula(1)Formula(2)ModelStandarddeviation0.0050.003Table2DeviationbetweencalculationandobservationfromdifferentmatrixonmixingrubberfortreadFormula(3)Formula(4)ModelStandarddeviation17.1913.05Maximumdeviation76.1151.33Averagedeviation27.4918.06-0.87,1,(2)(1)48,X-0.33,5(2)-0.73,(4)(3)2,2.2100-0.94,T,E(6),(7),(8):0.092,0.37,-0.926,(5)60(9),(10),(11)-0.01,0.33-0.879(2),(11)0.009,XY2.33,100,60,X=777.99-93.577P(3)X=1015.31-380.38P(4)Table3AmountofsampleinmatrixbetweenY,XandPA,B,C:differentsamplingfromsourcedata.5A5B5C10A10B10C20A20B20C30A30B40A40B40C60A60B80A80BStandarddeviation0.0048370.0064790.0052760.0045730.0045610.0068980.0045460.0046000.0045670.0045170.0045840.0046010.0045770.0045670.0046560.0045490.0045870.004549Minimumdeviation0.0160.0170.0180.0140.0130.0210.0120.0130.0090.0130.0110.0140.0140.0120.0150.0120.0140.013Averagedeviation0.000929-0.0010000.0017270.001192-0.0008800.001939-0.0006400.000172-0.0042300.000313-0.0027000.0009490.000374-0.0009600.000646-0.0012800.001111-0.000280-0.6221.008-0.563-0.7480.697-0.411-0.7340.732-0.725-0.718-0.691-0.7380.699-0.735-0.663-0.717-0.724-0.7174.231Y=0.789-0.722P(5)(9)(10)(11)Y=0.504-0.000016TY=0.456+0.00265EY=0.8226-0.00016T-0.77P+0.000583ESampleY=0.2995+0.0002TY=0.214+0.0057EY=0.793-0.000045T-0.72P+0.00015E(6)(7)(8)ExpoundtermCoeffientterm0.7250.9700.6890.8040.7740.5910.7970.7950.7950.7860.7720.7980.7740.7980.7510.7870.7890.786ModelMaximumdeviation-0.016-0.015-0.018-0.011-0.015-0.024-0.013-0.012-0.017-0.013-0.017-0.011-0.014-0.013-0.015-0.014-0.012-0.013DeviationFig2Scatterplotforviscosityandinstantaneouspoweronmixingrubberfortube48,303,510,;20;304020,,202.4440.400.84171A50,0.535,70%;0.51.012,24%;32.02,4.58,2.94,(10,3)2.47,5.7,200kg6,,Table4AnalysisoncalculationandobservationofviscosityAveragevalue76.2886.8673.2872.71Standarddifference11.757.4920.8011.64MLmMLcaveragevalue0.38800.84280.80000.8180Averagevalue76.1386.4773.7573.29Range12.08.011.07.9111A121A171A171B50505050Standarddifference12.7011.3620.6612.4933:(1);(2);(3),123,,..,1993,40(6):348,,..,1997,44(3):160SeberGAF...:,1987Observation(MLm)Calculation(MLc)Range11.125.919.866.65Themathematicalmodelforthepredictionofviscosityofmixingrubberwasfoundbystatistics,butitsprecisionwasunsteady.Itwaspossibletomaketheprecisionuptore2quirementsbytheeliminationofabnormalsamples,theoptimizationofmathematicalmodelsandtheconfirmationoftheamountofthesourcedata.Thescatterpoltcouldtellthedifferentvalueseasily.Itcouldforecasttheviscosityofmixingrubberfortreadandtube.Twentygroupsofsamplecouldmeetthere2quirementandthepracticeshowedtheaver2agedeviationbetweencalculationandobser2vationofviscositywasonly0.400.84.Keywords:mixingrubber;Mooneyviscosi2ty;prediction;correlationcoefficient;mathe2maticalmodel;deviationSampleNumberStudyonraisingpredictionprecisionofviscosityofmixingrubberGuanYizhang,ZhangHai,WangGuoqiang,HeDehuaandMaTiejun(SouthChinaUniversityofScienceandTechnology,Guangzhou)CaiDayangandZhouMingqing(GuangzhouZhujiangTireCompany)ZhuKongyangandFangZhijun(Heavy-DutyTireFactoryofShanghaiTireandRubberCo.Ltd.)ABSTRACT23221