全球机器人报告2019(英文)-IFR-2019.09-32页

WelcometotheIFRPressConference18thSeptember2019ShanghaiAgendaWelcomePresentationoftheSpeakersWorldRobotics2019IndustrialRobotsWorldRobotics2019ChinaMarketDataWorldRobotics2019ServiceRobotsQuestions18Sept.2019Page2|StevenWyattIFRVicePresidentGroupVicePresidentandHeadofMarketing&SalesRoboticsABB,SwitzerlandSusanneBiellerGeneralSecretaryInternationalFederationofRobotics,GermanySpeakersonthePanelChristopherMüllerDirectorStatisticalDepartmentInternationalFederationofRobotics,Germany18Sept.2019Dr.SusanneBiellerPage3|DaokuiQuCRIAPresidentPresidentSIASUN,ChinaXiaogangSongCRIAExecutiveVicePresidentandSecretaryGeneralMemberoftheInternationalFederationofRoboticsExecutiveBoardInternationalFederationofRoboticsDr.SusanneBieller18Sept.2019•Voiceoftheglobalroboticsindustry•Annualglobalroboticsturnoveralmost$50billion(robotsystemsincludingsoftware&peripherals)•Almost60members:•Nationalrobotassociations•R&Dinstitutes•Robotsuppliers•Integrators•SponsoroftheInternationalSymposiumonRobotics(ISR)•Co-sponsoroftheIERAAward•Primarysourceforworld-widedataonuseofrobotics–IFRStatisticalDepartmentPage4|2018:AnotherRecordYear-FirstTimeover400,000Units2018:422,000Units,+6%2019:421,000Units,+/-0%2022:584,000Units,+12%onaverageperYearPage5|18Sept.2019StevenWyattPositivemedium-TermGrowthExpectationsStevenWyattPage6|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics2019Source:WorldRobotics2019AsiaRegiontheGrowthEngineStevenWyattPage7|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics2019Source:WorldRobotics2019ChinaremainsthemainEndUserofIndustrialRobotsStevenWyattPage8|18Sept.2019KeyIndustries:Automotive,Electronics&MetalsStevenWyattPage9|18Sept.2019CollaborativeIndustrialRobotsstillaNicheStevenWyattPage10|18Sept.2019TechnologicalDevelopmentsexpandingRobotAdoptionStevenWyattPage11|18Sept.2019Today-Moreintelligentcomponents,e.g.SmartGrippers-GreaterConnectivity,e.g.“Plug&Play”InterfacesandCloudComputing-EasiertoUse,e.g.“ProgrammingbyDemonstration”Tomorrow•“Machinelearning”enablesRobots….tolearnbytrial-and-errororbyvideodemonstration.toself-optimise.tocommunicatewithothermachinestoimproveentireprocesses.•Newbusinessmodels,e.g.RobotsasaService(RaaS)2022:4MillionIndustrialRobotsintheWorld‘sFactoriesStevenWyattPage12|18Sept.2019HighestRobotDensityinSingapore-lowestAverageinAsiaStevenWyattPage13|18Sept.2019Short-TermVolatility,buttheFutureforRobotsisverybright!Page14|April8,2019Today-AutomotiveIndustryTransitionfromICEtoEV-DecliningSmartphoneSales-PoliticalHeadwindsTomorrowIncreasedManufacturingFlexibility:BatchSize=1Demographic“TimeBomb”Emergingandrapidly-growingMarketSegmentsBusinessandTechnologicalInnovation,e.g.forSMECategoryStevenWyattChina:slightlydecliningafter8YearsofstrongGrowthDaokuiQu,PhDPage15|18Sept.2019RobotDensityinChinasurpassingGlobalAverageDaokuiQu,PhDPage16|18Sept.2019MainIndustriesinChina:Electronics,Automotive&MetalsDaokuiQu,PhDPage17|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics2019ChineseSuppliersgainingMarketShareDaokuiQu,PhDPage18|18Sept.2019MainApplicationsinChina:HandlingandWeldingDaokuiQu,PhDPage19|18Sept.2019ChineseSuppliersincreasedtheirshareinHandlingApplicationsDaokuiQu,PhDPage20|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics2019OperationalStockinChina:increasedby30%DaokuiQu,PhDPage21|18Sept.20193237527497133189256349501649010020030040050060070020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018'000ofunitsEstimatedoperationalstockofindustrialrobotsatyear-endinChinaSource:WorldRobotics2019DomesticServiceRobotsValueofSales:2018:US$3.7bn,+15%2019:US$4.6bn,+27%2022:US$11.5bn,+35%(CAGR)UnitSales:2018:16.3millionunits,+59%2019:22.1millionunits,+35%2022:61.1millionunits,+40%(CAGR)Page22|18Sept.2019Dr.ChristopherMüllerVacuumingandFloorCleaningRobotsareestablishedPersonal/DomesticServiceRobotsDr.ChristopherMüllerPage23|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics20192018:12MillionUnits(+90%)-furtherGrowthexpectedDr.ChristopherMüllerPage24|18Sept.2019ProfessionalServiceRobotssupportourWorkersValueofsales2018:US$9.2bn,+32%2019:US$12.6bn,+37%2022:US$38bn,+45%(CAGR)Unitsales:2018:271,000units,+61%2019:361,000units,+33%2022:1,000,000units,+41%(CAGR)Page25|18Sept.2019Dr.ChristopherMüllerProfessionalServiceRobots:MainValueGrowthDriversareLogisticSystemsDr.ChristopherMüllerPage26|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics2019AGVsinFactories,Warehouses,LogisticCenters,Hospitals…111,000unitsdeployedin2018,60%morethanin2017•7,700unitsinmanufacturing•103,000unitsinwarehouses,logisticcenters,hospitals…2019:176,000units(+58%)2022:712,000units(+59%onaverageeachyear)Image:OmronDr.ChristopherMüller18Sept.2019Page27|MedicalRobots–mostvaluableservicerobots:US$2.8billionin2018•2018:5,100units(+50%)•2019:7,200units(+39%)•2022:19,700units(+40%CAGR)Fieldrobotics–thefutureofplowing•5,800milkingrobotsin2018(+8%)•agriculturalrobotsexpectedtogrowstrongly•2018:480units(+30%)•2019:720units(+50%)•2022:2400units(+50%CAGR)Image:AOTCarloImage:NaioDr.ChristopherMüller18Sept.2019Page28|LogisticSystemsarealsotheGrowthDriverinUnitsDr.ChristopherMüllerPage29|18Sept.2019Source:WorldRobotics2019PublicRelationsRobotsontheRiseDr.ChristopherMüllerPage30|1