2-IP城域网发展趋势及IPV6演进方案

英文标题:32-35pt颜色:R153G0B0内部使用字体:FrutigerNextLTMedium外部使用字体:Arial中文标题:30-32pt颜色:R153G0B0字体:黑体英文正文:20-22pt子目录(2-5级):18pt颜色:黑色内部使用字体:FrutigerNextLTRegular外部使用字体:Arial中文正文:18-20pt子目录(2-5级):18pt颜色:黑色字体:细黑体配色参考方案：建议同一页面内不超过四种颜色，以下是９组配色方案，同一页面内只选择一组使用。（仅供参考）客户或者合作伙伴的标志放在右上角.SecurityLevel:IP城域网发展及IPv6部署及演进经验分享电信系统部MKTG部HUAWEITECHNOLOGIESCO.,LTD.HuaweiproprietaryNospreadwithoutpermissionPage2Slidetitle:32-35ptColor:R153G0B0CorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialSlidetext:20-22ptBulletslevel2-5:18ptColor:BlackCorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialToprightcornerforfield-mark,customerorpartnerlogotypes.----------------Thefollowingninegroupsofcolorsareanexampleofhowourdesigncolorscanbeused,pleasetakenotethatyoushouldonlyuseonedesigncolorgroupperslide.Forspecificusagedetails,refertothe“TypesettingStandard”.互联网新业务发展对网络的影响IP城域网架构与技术发展探讨IPv6部署及演进经验分享汇报提纲HUAWEITECHNOLOGIESCO.,LTD.HuaweiproprietaryNospreadwithoutpermissionPage3Slidetitle:32-35ptColor:R153G0B0CorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialSlidetext:20-22ptBulletslevel2-5:18ptColor:BlackCorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialToprightcornerforfield-mark,customerorpartnerlogotypes.----------------Thefollowingninegroupsofcolorsareanexampleofhowourdesigncolorscanbeused,pleasetakenotethatyoushouldonlyuseonedesigncolorgroupperslide.Forspecificusagedetails,refertothe“TypesettingStandard”.牵引未来3～5年网络发展的新业务变化EnterpriseVoice,PSTN($121.8b)MobileVoice($697.5b)SMS/MMSandOtherMobileData($251.3b)ConsumerVoice,PSTN($157.1b)Mono&polyphonicRingtone($5.6b)10%20%30%40%50%60%-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%CAGR(2007-2011)EBIT(2011)EnterpriseVoIP($22.4b)MobileTV($39.8b)OnlineGaming($10.5b)OnlineMusic($7.7b)OTTVideo($32.9b)MobileMusic($31.4b)ConsumerVoBB($33.8b)IPTVAdvertising($5.1b)IPTVandVoD($17.3b)Source:Gartner语音：VoIP替代加速全球智能用户9.4亿，爆发增长，进入甜区～20%Skype（5.6亿），QQ（6亿）、FaceTime支持IOS5、Android音乐：App模式替代加速iTunes演进AppStore下载突破100亿，应用超越音乐App模式全球化，加速对纯音乐下载的替代SMS：微信/微博替代加速SMS人均发送数下降：中国移动93-86条/人/月Twitter爆发替代短信；SINA微博用户1亿，IOS5支持iMessageIPTV：OTT视频替代加速Netfliex付费用户2000万，超越AT&T/Version的IPTV用户数未来5年付费OTT将产生320亿美元互联网业务发展趋势：TDM被IP替代加速、网络在线时间与交互性增多，高清OTT视频成为业务新热点HUAWEITECHNOLOGIESCO.,LTD.HuaweiproprietaryNospreadwithoutpermissionPage4Slidetitle:32-35ptColor:R153G0B0CorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialSlidetext:20-22ptBulletslevel2-5:18ptColor:BlackCorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialToprightcornerforfield-mark,customerorpartnerlogotypes.----------------Thefollowingninegroupsofcolorsareanexampleofhowourdesigncolorscanbeused,pleasetakenotethatyoushouldonlyuseonedesigncolorgroupperslide.Forspecificusagedetails,refertothe“TypesettingStandard”.趋势一：视频给我的启示，IPTV还是OTT？IPTV固定码流组播宽带自适应码流单播超宽带Hybrid视频（IPTV+OTT视频）IPTV＋+m*n*HSI1*HDTV+1*VoIPOTT注:m=家庭成员数,n=互联网终端数.美国每个家庭平均拥有25个个人电子设备什么内容可填充20-100M带宽？HUAWEITECHNOLOGIESCO.,LTD.HuaweiproprietaryNospreadwithoutpermissionPage5Slidetitle:32-35ptColor:R153G0B0CorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialSlidetext:20-22ptBulletslevel2-5:18ptColor:BlackCorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialToprightcornerforfield-mark,customerorpartnerlogotypes.----------------Thefollowingninegroupsofcolorsareanexampleofhowourdesigncolorscanbeused,pleasetakenotethatyoushouldonlyuseonedesigncolorgroupperslide.Forspecificusagedetails,refertothe“TypesettingStandard”.Netflix:OTT抢占电视机大屏幕成功典范，驱动流量模型变化100：1收敛比Level3:长途骨干骨干网利用CDN的应用层组播方案，流量压力并不大，用于热门节目刷新Comcast：城域接入Level3的CDN边缘服务器将洪流注入Comcast城域网，导致其城域骨干压力剧增互联互通节点300Mbps（与节目刷新相关）30Gbps（与用户数相关）网络瓶颈所在Netflix海量节目库：10万部DVD/蓝光，100TBLevel3有18个边缘节点，Comcast有2000万宽带用户，平均每个边缘节点覆盖100万用户30Gpbs只能满足2万并发用户，即目前2%的宽带用户在使用Netflix已对城域骨干压力很大随着使用率、画质（码率）、每户屏幕数量的提升，单单Netflix将消耗10Tpbs城域骨干付费用户数已超2500万（AT&T＋Verizon才500万IPTV用户消耗了美国20%互联网带宽资源HUAWEITECHNOLOGIESCO.,LTD.HuaweiproprietaryNospreadwithoutpermissionPage6Slidetitle:32-35ptColor:R153G0B0CorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialSlidetext:20-22ptBulletslevel2-5:18ptColor:BlackCorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialToprightcornerforfield-mark,customerorpartnerlogotypes.----------------Thefollowingninegroupsofcolorsareanexampleofhowourdesigncolorscanbeused,pleasetakenotethatyoushouldonlyuseonedesigncolorgroupperslide.Forspecificusagedetails,refertothe“TypesettingStandard”.趋势二：云时代的业务体验该如何定义？网络时延来自封装转发时延+媒质传播时延+有收敛节点高层协议处理时延+分组队列时延云联科技云游戏业务带宽4M,时延100ms企业统一通信业务时延必须75ms语音助理业务时延你的耐性…桌面云iDataCenter@北美三地Cloudunion软件华为数据中心@广东深圳云联服务器群@各地市IDC用户@全球研发部@基地市场部@全球游戏玩家@宅游戏玩家@外Siri软件HUAWEITECHNOLOGIESCO.,LTD.HuaweiproprietaryNospreadwithoutpermissionPage7Slidetitle:32-35ptColor:R153G0B0CorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:ArialSlidetext:20-22ptBulletslevel2-5:18ptColor:BlackCorporateFont:FrutigerNextLTMediumFonttobeusedbycustomersandpartners:Aria