我国煤炭行业发展趋势研究宋明达

349Vol.34No.920149CoalEconomicResearchSep.2014200110200820121[1]1978—19841984—199219881992—20022003—20122003100029200110F426.21A10029605201409004003StudyonDevelopmentTendencyofChinaCoalIndustrySONGMing⁃daChinaCoalTechnologyandEngineeringGroupCorporationLimited,Beijing100029,ChinaAbstract:Sincetheyearof2001,Chinacoalindustryhadagolden10yearsdevelopmentandthenwhatthefollowingyearswouldbegoingon.Fromthedomesticpolicyandtheinternationaleconomicenvironmentaffectedtothedevelopmentofthecoalindustry,astudywasconductedonthedevelopmenttendencyofChinacoalindustry.Harddaysforthecoalindustrypos⁃siblywouldbecontinuouslykeptforseveralyears.Thereforeaworstintentionshouldbepreparedinordertohandleallpossi⁃blyoccurredandwouldbebetterthanthecrisissoonpassedoverbyanoptimisticconjecture.Keywords:coalindustry;developmenttendency;internationalfactor40DOI:10.13202/j.cnki.cer.2014.09.010201491012003200920002.44.411.29.3920095.86t50%2014220137.79t48.5%1.849.5%201420147195%[2]2014710010835/m20.81%30.31[3]242012201235.95t419.375.945.421.92t490%31.6%320147201470%50%[4]21199542001780.05121.012002201110412014934250%[5]27%17%13%[6]33200862011572.7821971815406[7][1]2016—2022202320122016201620222022102012—2022[1].[M].2013.[2].[EB/LO].2014-07-20[2014-08-10]http//ido.3mt.com.cn/Article/201407/show3772446c35p1.html.[3].7[EB/OL].2014-07-31[2014-08-10]http//finance.ifeng.com/a/20140731/12838224_0.shtml.[4].75[EB/OL].2014-07-25[2014-08-10]http//[5]JayHakes.AdeclarationofEnergyIndependence:HowFreedomfromForeignOilCanImproveNationalSecurityOurEcono⁃myandtheEnvironment[M].HobokenWiley2008.[6]JohnTabak.CoalandOilEnergyandtheEnvironment[M].NewYorkFactsonFile2009.[7].[EB/OL].2014-06-10[2014-08-10]http//:[e-mail]42