旅游业与城镇化协同发展的区域差异分析_钟家雨

34220142ECONOMICGEOGＲAPHYVol.34No.2Feb.20142013－09－242013－12－031968—。、、。[e-mail]。13211.4100832.4102053.410004。2000—20123。。。。。F590F291A1000－8462201402－0187－06AnalysisontheＲegionalDifferenceofCoordinatedDevelopmentbetweenTourismandUrbanizationZHONGJia－yu13LIUSi－wei2XIONGXi11.BusinessSchoolCentralSouthUniversityChangsha410083HunanChina2.HunanUniversityofCommerceChangsha410205HunanChina3.HunanInstituteofEconomicGeographyChangsha410004HunanChinaAbstractBasedontheprovincialpaneldataduring2000-2012theempiricalanalysisseparatesfromthenationalandespe-ciallythecentralwesternandeasternareasontherelationshipbetweentourismandurbanizationinChina.Thestudyfoundsregionaleconomicgrowthcontinuestotheurbanizationhasapositiveimpactonallareasindustrialdevelopmentandtourismhavedifferencesontheimpactofurbanizationindifferentareas.Thetourismindustryandregionaleconomicgrowthdevelopedcoordinatelyshouldacceleratetheurbanizationconverselyitshouldlagurbanization.Tourisminvestmentthatcanhaveasignificantimpactonthetowninthecentralandwesternregionsandtheinfluenceoftheeasternregionisnotob-vious.Towndwelleraveragepercapitacanenhancehassignificanteffectonallareasofurbanizationandincomewhiletheurbanpopulationgrowthhavepositiveinfluenceonwesterntowns.Keywordseconomicgrowthindustrialstructureurbanization。、。。、、、。“”、、188“”“”。。1。。1970Aurousseou、Harris。1970“”Haw＆WilliamsDemoi。1991“”。Meyer。、Fuentes、·ＲichardSharpley。FrankSabouri、1－2。《》3。4。、110。。5。Granger、、、6。7。、、、8。9。。。。。。3418922.19。。10。。。Urbanit=α0+α1PGDPit+∑ki=1αiStructureit+∑ki=1βiXit+εt1UrbanitPGDPitGDPStructureitXitα0α1αiβiεtit。2.2GDP11GDP。、、。1。33.1、、。、、、、、、、、、、11、、、、、、、8、、、、、、、、、、11。1Tab.1VariabledefinitionUrbanPGDPIndustryTourismgdp×Industrygdp×TourismTIUpdi。Popgrow30。2000—20121999《》。《60》。CCEＲ。。2。3.23.2.1。。FLMHausman。、、3。21902Tab.2Variabledescriptivestatistics39046.6024915.0263089.8000023.2000014358.3992616.3810089.8000023.5391210442.537838.57409656.8988023.2000014337.761858.11936357.7372623.35880GDP39022007.9617258.7291181.002759.00014333371.5020633.9391181.006798.00010416121.909496.34143415.004779.46014314925.1910902.9163886.002759.00039065.300007.96916865.3000019.8000014346.3254110.0220857.4000019.8000010449.508706.66917365.3000035.0000014344.966655.68575458.4000033.60000GDP39020.869527.02546549.8672312.9876514338.852469.25468751.2567814.2542510441.2542416.15425453.88751425.3254214336.1245245.52425446.25421426.245214GDP39016.8787822.25245130.54540.68152314338.7878823.57445137.574711.2981310419.2544411.2524549.147182.09084814312.2104111.4743867.930060.6815233905.3949053.08201913.10000－3.2400001434.0279233.0361489.870000－3.2400001044.8855772.1219509.4800000.3600001437.1323082.90269413.100002.310000390145.4369109.0325690.000021.25638143194.9058146.8595690.000023.50000104141.184568.88251289.000027.6559914399.0607353.97935273.461221.256383、Tab.3Effectonurbanizationofindustrialstructureandeconomicgrowthlngdp2.09＊＊＊7.082.81＊＊＊4.651.89＊＊＊2.121.91＊＊＊4.59lnIndustry2.69＊＊＊8.613.89＊＊＊8.091.521.212.53＊＊＊4.86lnTourism2.81＊＊＊5.883.72＊＊＊3.663.48＊＊＊3.410.811.22lngdp×lnIndustry－0.25＊＊＊－7.38－0.35＊＊＊－6.59－0.15－0.88－0.30＊＊＊－5.69lngdp×lnTourism－0.26＊＊＊－5.62－0.34＊＊＊－3.283.48＊＊＊3.42－0.15*－1.58lnTI0.014＊＊1.660.030.880.03＊＊＊2.560.01＊＊＊3.09lnUpdi0.06＊＊＊4.380.08＊＊1.880.051＊＊＊1.960.08＊＊＊3.31Popgrow0.009＊＊＊3.13－0.0004－0.060.0091.070.009＊＊＊3.39Ｒ20.970.970.960.98390143104143t＊＊＊、＊＊、*1%、5%、10%。。PGDP。。。。、。。1978—201271、34191。。。GDP、。。。20132013514426.6%。。。。。。GDP、。。。。。。。。、。。。。。。3.2.2。。。4。4lngdpTab.4ThepanelGraingercausalitytestoflngdpthedependentvariablelnurbantPlnurbantPlnurban1－1.4560.208lnurban1－1.1780.251lnurban21.3890.201lnurban21.0220.313lnurban30.3650.782lnurban1、lnurban2、lnurban3、。42。、。。44.12000—201230、、2192。。。。。。。4.2。、、12。。“”。、。。。。。。、、、。、。、。。、。1.J.2010628－35.2MoomawＲLShatterAM.Urbanizationandeconomicdevelop-mentabiastowardlargecitiesJ.JournalofUrbanEconom-ics199640113－37.3.J.200217247－50.4.J.20131536.5.J.20066740－43.6.J.2012176－79.7.J.200723111045－1048.8.———J.2011952－54.9.———J.20124137－140.10.J.200431－9.11.J.2013988－94.12.J.2002244－45.34