管理自我效能感与管理绩效和组织承诺关系的实证研究

MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.022009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.032009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.082009（，400030），、、，。，，。，。；；；2008-01-21（200706）。，，；，。Bandura1977。。。Bandura1997[1]。[23]。[4]。[5-7]。。[8]。。Self-efficacy[9]。45Vol.21No.082009。。1、BanduraWood1989Cervone19910.70.85[1011]。Robertson&Sadri1994、Orpen19950.40[1213]。2006[7]。2004[14]。。。2、。O’neill&Mone1998[15]。Mcdonald&Siegall1992[16]。。2006[7]。。。。H1H1aH1bH2。1、MBA50。MBA、28020272.15%。。1。2、1[1]。、20032004[17,14]。、、、、、622。SPSS13.0。46MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.022009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.032009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.0820091n=202304522.3%57235.6%31-358039.6%6-108240.6%36-404823.8%11-153115.3%402914.4%15178.4%15879%11556.9%4221%4723.3%4421.9%105.0%13165.2%3014.8%2612.9%5929.2%4220.8%10652.5%11355.9%3718.3%4755.9%，2；1。15。CICTCorrectedItem-TotalCorrelation0.518。AMOS6.0χ2/df=1.68GFI=0.92AGFI=0.89CFI=0.93TLI=0.91RMSEA=0.05。62.306%0.887。、。2、2002[18]2002。54。。AMOS6.0χ2/df=1.85GFI=0.95AGFI=0.92CFI=0.95TLI=0.93RMSEA=0.06。69.711%0.801。、。32002“”1515[19]。、、、、515。SPSS13.0。14。。。AMOS6.0χ2/df=2.12GFI=0.93AGFI=0.89CFI=0.93TLI=0.90RMSEA=0.07。76.576%0.899。。3、SPSS13.0Stepwise。SEM,StructuralEquationModelingAMOS6.0。47Vol.21No.0820091、2。2n=202MPF1MPF2MPOCF1OCF2OCF3OCF4OCMSEF1.135.185(**).220(**).114.145(*).092-.019.171(*)MSEF2.255(**).090.258(**).085.119-.029.079.078MSEF3.216(**).163(*).271(**).125(*).137.041-.125.128(*)MSEF4.277(**).257(**).376(**).102.005.031-.052.074MSEF5.481(**).041.407(**).112.081.024.038.122MSE.638(**).305(**).692(**).238(**).214(**).066-.023.255(**)**p0.01,*p0.05（）。2MSEF1MSEF2MSEF3MSEF4MSEF5MSEMPF1MPF2MPOCF1OCF2OCF3OCF4OC。123、4、。。。。、H1。H2。2、。。Stepwise3。3n=202βtSig.Adj.R2MSEF5.407**8.028.000MSEF4.376**7.416.000.483**MSEF3.271**5.335.000MSEF2.258**5.077.000MSEF1.220**4.337.000MSEF1.171*2.449.015.036*OCMSEF3.128*2.037.020MP**p0.01,*p0.05。48MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.022009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.032009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.0820093148.3%23.6%0.05。。3、、、latentvariable。[20]。、。Michael1998[21]。44χ2/dfPGFIAGFICFITLIRMSEA1.7000.080.920.890.940.920.06χ2/df1.73P0.080.05GFI、AGFI、CFI、TLI10.060.08。。111。2。。3、。。。H1H2。。James&Brett1984***p0.001,**p0.01,*p0.05149Vol.21No.082009、[22]。SPSS。。。1、48.3%。。。Bandura1997。[1]。。。2004[14]。、。、。。。。。。2、3.6%。。Mcdonald&Siegall1992、。。。。。、、。、。。50MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.022009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.032009MANAGEMENTREVIEWVol.21No.08200912。Bandura1982[23]、、、。。。。。[1]BanduraA.Self-efficacy:Theexerciseofcontrol[M].NewYork:Freeman,1997[2]BanduraA.,JourdenFJ.Self-regulatorymechanismsgoverningtheimpactofsocial-comparisononcomplexdecisionmaking[J].Journalofpersonalityandsocialpsychology,1991,60:941-951[3]WoodRE,BanduraA.Socialcognitivetheoryoforganizationalmanagement[J].AcademyofManagementReview,1989,14(3):361-384[4],.[J].,2007,19(6):25-30[5],,.[J].,2001,9(2):179-185[6],,.[J].,2004,36(5):586-592[7],,.[J].(),2006,42(2):276-280[8].[M].:,2001[9]BanduraA.Socialfoundationsofthoughtandaction:Asocial-cognitionview[M].EnglewoodCliffs,NJ:Prentice-Hall,1986[10]WoodRE,BanduraA.Impactofconceptionsofabilityonself-regulatorymechanismsandcomplexdecisionmaking[J].JournalofPersonalityandSocialPsychology,1989,56(3):407-415[11]CervoneD,JiwaniN,WoodRE.Goalsettingandthedifferentialinfluenceofself-regulatoryprocessesoncomplexdecision-makingperformance[J].JournalofPersonalityandSocialPsychology,1991,61(2):257-266[12]SadriG,RobertsonIT.Self-efficacyandwork-relatedbehavior:Areviewandmeta-analysis[J].AppliedPsychology:AInternationalReview,1994,42(2):139-152[13]OrpenC.Self-efficacybeliefsandjobperformanceamongBlackmanagersinSouthAfrica[J].PsychologicalReports.1995,76(2):649-650[14].、[D].,2004[15]O’neillBS,MoneMA.InvestigatingEquitySensitivityasaModeratorofRelationsBetweenSelf-EfficacyandWorkplaceAttitudes[J].JournalofAppliedpsychology,1998,83(5):805-816[16]McDonaldT,SiegallM.TheEffectsofTechnologicalSelf-EfficacyandJobFocusonJobPerformance,Attitude,andWithdrawalBehaviors[J].JournalofPsychonogy,1992,126(5):465-475[17],.[M].:,2003[18],.[J].,2002,8(3):1-10[19],.5[J].(),2002,1(6):96-99[20],.[J].,2006(2):38-41[21]MichaelTracey,MarkA.Vonderemse.Manufacturingtechnologyandstrategyformulation:Keystoenhancingcompetitivessandimprovingperformance[J].JournalofOperationsManagement,1998,17:411-428[22]JamesLR,BrettJM.Mediator,moderator,andtestsformediations[J].JournalofAppliedPsychology,1984,69(2):307-312[23]BanduraA.Self-efficacymechanisminhumanagency[J].AmericanPsychologist,1982,37:122-1472251Vol.21No.08200951PriceDiscoveryandVolatilitySpilloversintheIndexFuturesandSpotMarketsinChinaGuoYanfeng,HuangDengshiandWeiYu(SchoolofEconomic&Management,SouthwestJiaoTongUniversity,Chengdu610031)Abstract:Thispaperisanadvancedstudyunderthesituationofindexfuturesnotinpracticebuttobelaunched.Thepurposeistotesttheeffectivenessofthestockindexfuturestradingonthespotmarket,andtodetectthepricediscoveryfunctionofindexfuturesandwhethertheindexfutureswillincreasethespotmarketvolatility.ThefirstapplicationofVEC-DCC-(BV)GARCHmodelbasedonthesimulationtransactionsdataofChina300indexfutures,comestothefollowingconclusions:(1)thetwo