上海市轨道交通发展战略研究

上海交通大学硕士学位论文上海市轨道交通发展战略研究姓名：任福明申请学位级别：硕士专业：工商管理指导教师：于冷20050303EMBA621SWOTOpportunityThreatStrengthWeaknessSWOTSWOTEMBA7RESEARCHONTHEDEVELOPMENTSTRATEGYOFTRACKTRANSPORTATIONINSHANGHAIABATRCTTransportationisthelifelineofacity,whichplaysavitalroleintheeconomicandsocialdevelopment.Itisalsoanindustrythatinvolveslongconstructionperiodandhugeinvestment.Therefore,in-depthanalysisandargumentationisneededfortheselectionofurbantransportationstrategy,tobetterutilizetheopportunitiesandfacethechallengesitfaces.Thethesisselectstracktransportationasasubjectforstudy,andgivesformalanalysisandargumentationtothedevelopmentstrategy,andbasedontheconclusion,systematicandspecificsolutionisprovided,togetherwithsuggestionsforimplementation.Traditionalstrategicmanagementtheoryandmethodologychooseenterpriseasasubjectforstudyandcompetitionasacoreforanalysisinelaboration.However,therehasbeenlimitedsystematicandcontinuedresearchintheareaofurbantracktransportationdoneintheacademiccircle.Thethesisreferstothethoughtandmethodsincorporatedevelopmentstrategy,anddueinnovationisappliedintheanalysis.Thetargetofurbantracktransportationistoprovidesmooth,safe,comfortableandcleanservicetocitizens.Therefore,socialeffectwhichcannotbequantifiedisalwaysgiventhefirstpriority.Inordertomeetthetarget,itinvolvesdirectvaluecreatingactivitiessuchasinvesting,construction,operation,aswellasindirectvaluecreatingonessuchasplanning,coordinationandsupervision.ThethesisusesthevaluechainanalysistoolofMichaelPorter,fortheconstructionofvaluechaininthiscase.Itthenresearchesoneachlinkofurbantransportationvaluechainwithreferencemadetothetypicalexamplesathomeandabroad.Throughanalysisofdataindifferentcitiesaroundtheworld,itsummarizesthebasicfeaturesofurbantransportation,whichisbetterintermsofcapacity,speed,EMBA8punctuality,safety,landresources,energyconsumption,andpollution.Theoverallurbanplanningcanthusbenefitandbeoptimizedwhilecostgetscontrolled.Thethesisfocusesonthreelinks,namelyplanningandconstruction,investmentandfinancing,operation,andselectsTokyo,NewYork,HK,Guangzhouasexamplesforstudy.Researchshowsthattransportationsystemmadeupofgreatcapacitytrackvehicleandrelatedsurfacevehicleisanidealmodelforconvenient,clean,comfortabletransportation,whileindividualvehiclesandsurfacetransportationisamaincontributortochaosandenvironmentdeterioration.ThetrackdevelopmentinShanghaishouldcombinesbothsuccessfullessonsabroadandstatusquointhecity.Advantagesanddisadvantagesaresummarizedupontheanalysisofcurrentsituationandproblems.Opportunitiesandchallengesareidentifiedthereof.ThethesisproposesastrategicplanforShanghai,whichreliesontracktransportationatrunk,tosatisfythegrowingneedforpassengertransportationfortheguaranteeofhealthydevelopmentsociallyandeconomically.Inconclusion,itproposestheoverallstrategy,includingprinciple,mission,andtarget.Thethesisalsodrawsthesuccessfullessonofothermodelcitiesinprovidingimplementationsuggestion.KEYWORDStracktransportation,developmentstrategy,modelresearch,valuechainEMBA3200533EMBA4200533200533EMBA12002EMBA2“”,1-11-1PESTBenchmarking/EMBA3,1-41-1EMBA4634019782004GDP7450.2713.6%19961396.715%3788.2214.9%3492.8916.1%3565.3412.9%4.950.8%47.9%20041119.719786.636.5%1089%2004105030%70%200453.676510%8210414020046015EMBA564.5%0.41016650730012%10%1997551.390145471.626%2090“365”10200014.820042.44945036%10200317111341.777300199520038150200300211695014890498541989375km2638km’()()()80(1)”EMBA6209019918.78200338040GDP6.8%05010015020025019911996199820002001200220032-19019914817.6200310451km407200316510m22-120032552538679371378321720/1664055718311402/13732314368741957882EMBA7=+1991700020031862595222000km27.374727%35%16%200382km111.220028.88%9.76%050001000015000200002500030000350004000045000199619971998199920002001200220032-247%68%11%57%75%88%2003174.878.65,18.45,98.8,3.7644%56%200215.3%,21200054%10EMBA8050100150200199219951996199719982001200220032-310%3300-340020033760525111.216%90062%122003120%70%242%EMBA932174%2029%15/“”1018/3801995198624171200316%2417161605101520253019861995199820032-4451EMBA1065%169%1/71/965%23%264%31/21/3EMBA113-11711.818.22853144144.09.8381658518.66814165332.2410154850133.2101413190%EMBA122200060%37090280km57km90199790%2090EF35/1992“CMP”HOVEMBA13199219%33%200125LRTPHOVITS“”“”50197904“”————6019631300207025001980412km2684km70km3166km67196719877130.5km6.5km1,231000EMBA14453-23-213-358305067ABAACCAABAACCAABAACBBCBABBABBACCAACBACCAACEMBA153-313.61700122010800145900046120180002500068902400032000810180320004000081090520008000023-4km/hkm/h80152060202580100303570354012040455065120354033-5160526010%2530%EMBA163-5m/km/hm2/0.80.14.51.21.00.110-122.02.00.120-30223.250.1520-30323.51.0-1.215-201.02.03.51.0-3.0350.203.53.0-7.0350-0.23.54.0-8.050-600.243-660%17%8%3-6CO224%11%5%3-6Kcal/CO2g/NOXg/SOXg/1014.70.1790.01117919.40.5040.144129889.30.4960.04160244.60.2570.02153-716234373543778812399EMBA173-71982198761/1/1014.70.1790.01117919.40.5040.144129889.30.4960.04160244.60.2570.02161233-8(:/)2000900560010800480090001050013996EMBA18,2020EMBA192001519992020202085%2020200021“”