典型的技术形态

TECHNICALCHARTPATTERNSCHARACTERISTICS典型技术形态ObtainedfromthebookbyThomasN.Bulkowski,EncyclopediaofChartPatterns摘自ThomasN.Bulkowski,形态百科全书Note!MosttechnicalAnalysischartpatternstypicallyoccurslowlyovera3monthsto4monthstimespan.Therefore,youshouldonlyseriouslyuseaweeklychartprofilesettingandatleastone-yearsworthofweeklytimeplots..注意：大部分技术形态由3-4月的时间跨度慢慢形成，因此您必须在至少一年以上的周图图表上应用。TOP10BULLISHTECHNICALCHARTFORMATIONSWITHHIGHESTMOSTLIKELYRISE!前10大看涨技术形态及最大可能涨幅AVG.FAILURES%平均失败几率AVG.RISE%平均涨幅LIKELYRISE%很可能的涨幅1.RoundingTops，圆弧顶6%41%30%2.BroadeningFormations,RightAngled&Descending扩散及下降直角三角形19%27%25%3.Scallops,Ascending上升扇形25%33%25%4.Head-and-ShouldersBottoms,Complex复合头肩底6%37%25%5.HornBottoms喇叭底11%37%25%6.Head-and-ShouldersBottoms头肩底5%38%25%7.DoubleBottoms双底3%40%25%8.Wedges,Falling下降契形2%43%25%9.RectangleTop,UpBreakout长方形顶，向上突破2%52%25%10.Flags,HighandTight旗型17%63%25%TOP10BEARISHTECHNICALCHARTFORMATIONSWITHHIGHESTMOSTLIKELYDECLINE!前10大看跌技术形态，最大及最可能的跌幅AVG.FAILURES%平均失败几率AVG.DECLINE%平均跌幅LIKELYDECLINE%最可能的跌幅1.Pennant,trenddown，下降三角形34%17%25%2.Scallops,Descending下降扇形3%24%20%3.Head-and-Shoulders,复合头肩顶Tops,Complex8%27%20%4.DiamondTops钻石顶25%21%20%5.BroadeningWedges,Descending,DownBreakout扩散契形，下降突破41%24%20%6.RectangleTops,DownBreakout长方形下突破0%20%20%7.BroadeningBottoms,扩散底，向下突破DownBreakout6%27%17.5%8.Bump-and-RunReversalTops碰撞反转顶19%24%17.5%9.BroadeningTops,Downbreakout扩散顶，向下突破4%23%15%10.Triangles,Descending下降三角形4%19%15%PATTERNCHARACTERISTICS形态特征#1Bullish!#1看涨Oneofthemostbullishanddependablechartpatternwithonlya6%failurerateandanaveragepositiveriseof41%.Theaveragerisewas30%.Thesepatternchartformationsareoftenlongenoughtoappearontheweeklychartsanddailycharts.仅6%失败的最可靠的看涨形态，平均正涨幅41%，平均上涨涨幅30%，这种形态常常需要够长的时间，在周线图和日线图上出现。PatternShape-Roundedhalf-moonshape.Thestockpricetrendcurvesbeginningfromthelowerleftpricepointupwardtothetopofthedomethenthepricetrendroundsoverandmovesdownagaintoalowerpricesupportarea.形态描述：半月形，价格曲线从左边低点向上到半月形顶部，然后又向下运行到开始的低点的支撑区域TradingTactics-Theaveragetradeforentryshouldoccurontherightsideofthedomewhenthepriceclosesabovethedomeoratcrestforthemoreaggressiveinvestors.交易策略：一般交易者在圆弧的右侧进场，激进的交易者在价格到达圆弧顶部上面一点的位置进场WINs®-Thispatternhasanupwardbiasandisidealforwritingcoveredcallsand/orleapsspreads.Itispossibletotimeyourwritesandgethigherpremiumsforyourwrites.Leggingintoaspreadwouldbemoreaggressive.PATTERNCHARACTERISTICS#2Bullish!Contrarytopopularbelief,morechartpattersnwithright-angleddescendingbroadeningformationsbreakoutupwardsthandownwards.#2看涨形态相对于普遍的看法，直角下降三角向上突破的可能超过向下突破的可能PatternShape-Lookslikeamegaphone,tilteddownward,withthetoptheformationhorizontal&boundonthebottombyadownwardbiasedslopingtrendline.形态描述：看起来像个喇叭，顶部由水平趋势线，底部由倾斜的趋构成，价格打到底部反弹冲破顶部趋势线TradingTactics-Theupperpricetagsmustformahorizontalline.Thereisnoconsistentvolumepatternforthisformation.Note!Pricescanbreakoutineitherdirection,usuallywithariseinvolumethatsoontapersoff.交易战术：WINs®-ThispatternworksgreatwithdeterminingthestrikepricesforCCsandLEAPsspreads.Thebackandforthmovementsmaketheoptionpremiumshigher.Watchoutforthethirdandfourthupmovetogappingprices!PATTERNCHARACTERISTICS#3Bullish!Ascendingscallopsappearwhenthestockpricesaremovinghigherover3,6,ormoremonths.#3看涨形态上升扇形一般出现价格上涨3，6或更长的时间形成PatternShape-AscendingformationshaveaJshapeandhavetwopricepeakswitharoundedpricerecessioninbetween.TradingTactics-AscendingscallopsoftenshowaU-shapedvolumetrendthatgetsheavierovertime.YoucanaveragedownorlegintoaCCorLEAPsspreads.WINs®-WatchoutforgapspassyourCCsstrikeprices.LEAPsspreadersshouldgoshortonemonthouttoavoidbeingcalledoutorhavingarun-a-wayposition.PATTERNCHARACTERISTICS#4Bullish!Thisformationhadonlya6%failureratewhichisoutstanding.Whenthenecklineslopesdownwardatindicated,thestockperformesbetter.PatternShape-AH&Sbottomwithmultipleshoulders,mutipleheads,or(rarely)both.Theheadislowerthantheshouldersbutnotverymuch.TradingTactics-Usuallyhighervolumeontheleftsideofshouldersthanthanthecorrespondingshouldersontherightside.Greatstocktoplayupanddownwithcallsandputsorshorting.WINs®-Greatstocktogenerateconsiderablepremiumswithupthedowncyclesbeforeallowingthestocktoappreciateinvalueandcashout.PATTERNCHARACTERISTICS#5Bullish!GreatCCingpatternforstockpricerisewhenthehornlengthsareatleasttwiceaslongthanmostspikesovertheprioryear.PatternShape-Usetheweeklyprofiletolocatetwodownwardspikesinthehornsseparatedbyaweekworthoftime.TradingTactics-Theleftspikeshowshigherthanaveragevolumeandthusmorevolatility.Somehornsappearneartheendofuptrends,sowatchforthetrendtochange!WINs®-Hornswillusuallynotmarktheendofthedowntrends,buttheywillbeclose.Pricesmightcontinuetodriftdownfor$1orsothenheadupward.Letthetrendbeyourfriend!PATTERNCHARACTERISTICS#6Bullish!H&SBottomsarequiteeasytospotandtheycanbeveryprofitable.H&Sbottomsmeetsitspricetargets83%ofthetime.PatternShape-Athree-humpformationwiththecenterhumpbelowtheothertwo.Thethreehumpsandtwominorrisesshouldbewelldefined.TradingTactics-Thelineslantedtotherightistheneckline.Thepriceusuallyadvancesabovethenecklineandstagesanupsidebreakout.WINs®-Volumeisusuallyhi