河北省对外贸易形势分析与对策研究

365200710Vol.36No.5JOURNALOFHEBEIUNIVERSITYOFTECHNOLOGYOctober20071007-2373(2007)05-0072-051221.3001302.30013019902006F752ATheAnalysisofSituationandCountermeasuresofForeignTradeofHebeiProvinceJINShan-nü1SHENHong-li2QIXiao-li2(1.SchoolofForeignLanguage,HebeiUniversityofTechnology,Tianjin300130,China,2.SchoolofManagement,HebeiUniversityofTechnology,Tianjin300130,China)AbstractThispaperfirstlyanalyzesthecurrentsituationandexistingproblemsofforeigntradeofHebeiprovince,thencombinesthetheoryofendogenouseconomicgrowthandcarriesonanempiricalanalysisonfactorsinfluencingforeigntradelevelofHebeiprovinceonthebasisofthedatafrom1990to2006ofrelevantindices,theresultsshowthatcapital,laborandtechnologyplayanimportantroleonforeigntradelevelofHebeiprovince,thenisthestructureofexportproductsandeconomicgrowthrate.Atlastputsforwardsrelevantadvicesonthebasisofcurrentsituationandempiricalanalysis.Keywordsforeigntradeinfluentfactorsfactoranalysistradecompetitionindex0157027%101.11978~199319932007-05-252006929351968-73512006185.3128.419931993~200617.47%18.91%1.21997200612.69%67.04%2006161.9%176.2%21.3197830%1992199354.21%200685%200619931.422006Fig.2ThecompareofforeigntradedependencyofHebeiprovince54004800420036003000GDP1801601401201001Fig.1TheimportsandexportstrendofHebeiprovince20018016014012010019931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006605040302010743620%50%1993~20062[1]IMD1999[2][3]/[4]GDP[5][6]FDI/GDP233.11990~2006SPSS11.5[7]1Tab.1EigenvalueofthecorrelationMatrix%%16.29069.88769.8874.77853.08853.08821.29114.34584.2332.56428.49081.57930.91410.15794.3891.15312.81194.38940.2883.19797.587[8]1394.389%43.2%9394.389%70%333221123456228.5%37552Tab.2ComponentmatrixafterrotationVariableComponent12310.9150.349-0.15120.6500.565-0.27130.9510.1631.505E-0340.9650.181-6.19E-0250.9300.305-0.15260.8070.362-0.23770.2720.954-8.74E-028-0.265-0.9577.684E-029-0.139-0.1140.98012FDI3/)4567%8%9GDP%12/3GDP3.2()[9][10]=+11(1)11=1=0=1763630.40.741)2)3)4)[1][J]2002939-41[2][J]200615189-195[3][]200639-42[4][J]20075128-131[5][J]2005775-77[6]SolowRMAContributiontotheTheoryofEconomicGrowth[J]QuarterlyJournalofEconomics195670(1)65-73[7]SPSS[M]2001203-204[8][J]199813(3)50-58[9][M]2002121[10][M]20013Fig.3ThetrendoftradecompetitivenessandtradelevelofHebeiprovince1.51.00.50-0.5-1.0199019921994199619982000200220042006